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AMOC Collapse? Think Again—The Florida Current's Stability Defies Climate Predictions

AMOC Collapse? Think Again—The Florida Current's Stability Defies Climate Predictions

What 40 years of observations tell us about the real state of ocean currents and climate fear

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Dr. Matthew Wielicki
Sep 08, 2024
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Irrational Fear
Irrational Fear
AMOC Collapse? Think Again—The Florida Current's Stability Defies Climate Predictions
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A new Nature Communications paper titled "Florida Current Transport Observations Reveal Four Decades of Steady State" provides a long-term analysis of the Florida Current, a major component of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Contrary to frequent claims in the media about a weakening AMOC due to climate change, the study finds that the Florida Current has remained steady over the past four decades. This directly contradicts alarmist narratives, which often highlight the imminent collapse of ocean currents as a result of global warming.

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Source: https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/09/climate/atlantic-circulation-collapse-weather-climate/index.html

Dissecting the Paper: Florida Current and AMOC

The paper focuses on direct transport observations of the Florida Current from 1982 to 2022. The data shows no significant long-term trend, suggesting that the Florida Current's strength has remained stable over the 40-year period, despite projections that climate change would drastically weaken the AMOC. This finding is important because the AMOC, which transports warm water from the tropics to the North Atlantic, is often portrayed as on the brink of collapse in MSM. Such a collapse is frequently linked to catastrophic weather changes, including a deep freeze in Europe or more intense hurricanes in the Atlantic.

Past predictions regarding the weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) were flawed due to incomplete data and oversimplified models.

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