How the Climate Alarmist Sausage is Made...

Examining a Disputed Study and the Importance of Responsible Communication in Climate Science.

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a crucial system in the Earth's climate, responsible for regulating global temperatures and weather patterns. It is also a favorite of climate alarmists despite the IPCC stating,

There is no observational evidence of a trend in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), based on the decade-long record of the complete AMOC and longer records of individual AMOC components.

Now a recent study by Dutch researchers suggests that the AMOC is at a tipping point. The study, published in the journal Science Advances titled, “Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course”, uses a simplified model to simulate the AMOC and its response to changes in freshwater input. The results show that the AMOC could collapse in the next few decades if the freshwater input increases significantly.

Of course, such a result was celebrated by the MSM…

…and climate alarmists such as Dr. Johan Rockström, director at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), who tweeted…

…in response to the study.

Dr. Peter D. Carter, director of the Climate Emergency Institute and expert IPCC reviewer, tweeted…

…and Dr. Rupert Reed, co-director of the Climate Majority Project and emeritus professor tweeted…

During my time in graduate school, with an ever-increasing emphasis on the use of computer models in earth science and especially in the study of climate, my Ph.D. advisor frequently recited a well-known saying by the statistician George Box: "All models are wrong, but some are useful."

Unfortunately in this case the model is both wrong and useless. British researchers have found that the models were manipulated by incorporating essentially impossible assumptions…