Excellent essay. Its not possible that simple well understood maxims from economics and policy studies are not known by the people who keep pushing useless and probably counterproductive "solutions" to the "climate crisis".
“Any statistical relationship will break down when used for policy purposes.”
"When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure" - Goodhart's law
This is all so obvious that pointing it out gets you labeled a "conspiracy nut".
What you say about elections is also true about climate litigation. It is not a means to an end but an end in itself: fundraising for the plaintiffs and their lawyers for appearing to be dedicated to saving the planet.
China pays politicians and environmental groups to keep offshoring manufacturing. Western politics is now primarily theater for the masses. Don’t expect logic or virtue to prevail. However, writing like yours gives hope.
Speaking of Einstein - here is my favorite quote which the willfully insane Left cant deal with in the light of their plans and esp with the Covid/Climate change genocide:
…A dictatorship means muzzles all round and consequently stultification. Science can flourish only in an atmosphere of free speech.“
If the largely democrat politicians who push the CO2 = warming myth actually believed it, they would be all for nuclear generated electricity and more Natgas usage domestically and exported as LNG, both of which displace higher CO2 emitting coal.
Truth is they don’t really care about CO2 emissions, other than CO2 is emitted in most industrial processes and if you want to exert more control over economic activity, regulate CO2. It’s all about control and not about minor impacts on warming that are largely beneficial anyway.
Call me a cynic but I think that this is a colossal distraction exercise by those who own and control everything to take away the birthright of the rest of humanity and squirrel it away for themselves and their offspring. In short they consider us to be useless breathers/eaters/consumers without whom they would be much better off. Think Golgafrincham ‘B’ Ark.
Kinetic heat transfer processes of contiguous atmospheric molecules render surface BB impossible.
RGHE is bogus & CAGW is a scam!
FACTS & EVIDENCE:
FACT 1: Remove the Earth’s atmosphere or even just the GHGs and the Earth becomes much like the Moon, no water vapor or clouds, no ice or snow, no oceans, no vegetation, no 30% albedo becoming a barren rock ball, hot^3 (400 K) on the lit side, cold^3 (100 K) on the dark. At Earth’s distance from the Sun space is hot (394 K) not cold (5 K).
That’s NOT what the RGHE theory says.
EVIDENCE:
RGHE theory says “288 K w – 255 K (-18 C) w/o = a 33 C colder ice ball Earth” 255 K assumes w/o keeps 30% albedo, an assumption akin to criminal fraud. Nobody agrees 288 is GMST + it was 15 C in 1896. 288 K is a surface measurement. 255 K is an equilibrium calculation at ToA. Apples and potatoes.
Nikolov “Airless Celestial Bodies”
Kramm “Moon as test bed for Earth”
UCLA Diviner lunar mission data
JWST solar shield
ISS HVAC design for lit side of 250 F. (ISS web site)
Astronaut backpack life support w/ AC and cool water tubing underwear. (Space Discovery Center)
FACT 2: The GHGs require “extra” energy upwelling from a surface radiating as a Black Body.
EVIDENCE:
According to TFK_bams09 atmospheric power flux balance, numerous clones and SURFRAD the GHGs must absorb an “extra” 396 BB/333 “back”/63 2nd net W/m^2 LWIR energy upwelling from the surface allegedly radiating as a Black Body. These graphics contain egregious arithmetic and thermodynamic errors.
FACT 3: Because of the significant non-radiative, i.e. kinetic, heat transfer processes of the contiguous participating atmospheric molecules the surface cannot upwell “extra” energy as a near Black Body.
EVIDENCE:
As demonstrated by experiment, the gold standard of classical science.
Well put. Our planet and its climate is a system of ‘mind bending’ complexity with emergent and adaptive properties. Believing that it’s all worked out (with computer models .. not empirical evidence) and that twiddling one knob labelled CO2 will bring about a definitive effect in the system - as though adjusting the volume on the TV - is so child minded, it can’t possibly be what’s motivating the cabal driving the narrative.
When it comes to the influential and their credulity, I have never forgotten this gem from Presidential hopeful Joseph Biden in 2020, during his second debate with Donald Trump: “Climate change, climate warming, global warming is an existential threat to humanity. We have a moral obligation to deal with it. And we are told by all the leading scientists in the world we don’t have much time. We are going to pass the point of no return with in the next 8 to 10 years.” We now have only 4 to 6 years, unless of course he's wrong!
Excellent essay. Its not possible that simple well understood maxims from economics and policy studies are not known by the people who keep pushing useless and probably counterproductive "solutions" to the "climate crisis".
“Any statistical relationship will break down when used for policy purposes.”
"When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure" - Goodhart's law
This is all so obvious that pointing it out gets you labeled a "conspiracy nut".
Well said Chris.
What you say about elections is also true about climate litigation. It is not a means to an end but an end in itself: fundraising for the plaintiffs and their lawyers for appearing to be dedicated to saving the planet.
China pays politicians and environmental groups to keep offshoring manufacturing. Western politics is now primarily theater for the masses. Don’t expect logic or virtue to prevail. However, writing like yours gives hope.
So true
Just an outstanding piece that I will be sharing. Thanks Matthew.
The fear mongering that has contributed to our youth’s mental health struggles cannot be overstated.
https://northdakotamonitor.com/briefs/north-dakota-south-korea-partner-on-on-energy-research/
Speaking of Einstein - here is my favorite quote which the willfully insane Left cant deal with in the light of their plans and esp with the Covid/Climate change genocide:
…A dictatorship means muzzles all round and consequently stultification. Science can flourish only in an atmosphere of free speech.“
Albert Einstein
If the largely democrat politicians who push the CO2 = warming myth actually believed it, they would be all for nuclear generated electricity and more Natgas usage domestically and exported as LNG, both of which displace higher CO2 emitting coal.
Truth is they don’t really care about CO2 emissions, other than CO2 is emitted in most industrial processes and if you want to exert more control over economic activity, regulate CO2. It’s all about control and not about minor impacts on warming that are largely beneficial anyway.
Call me a cynic but I think that this is a colossal distraction exercise by those who own and control everything to take away the birthright of the rest of humanity and squirrel it away for themselves and their offspring. In short they consider us to be useless breathers/eaters/consumers without whom they would be much better off. Think Golgafrincham ‘B’ Ark.
I often have this discussion with my brother in law. I say they are stupid, he says they have bad intentions
Large egos and narcissistic personality disorders is my pick.
And anxious sheep?
Insects produce more Carbon Dioxide than humans. Is anyone studying changes in the insect population?
Your honest and logical approach to scientific inquiry is precisely the reason for the calumny directed toward you.
ABSTRACT:
Earth is cooler with atmosphere/water vapor/30% albedo not warmer.
Ubiquitous RGHE heat balance graphics don't + violate GAAP & LoT.
Kinetic heat transfer processes of contiguous atmospheric molecules render surface BB impossible.
RGHE is bogus & CAGW is a scam!
FACTS & EVIDENCE:
FACT 1: Remove the Earth’s atmosphere or even just the GHGs and the Earth becomes much like the Moon, no water vapor or clouds, no ice or snow, no oceans, no vegetation, no 30% albedo becoming a barren rock ball, hot^3 (400 K) on the lit side, cold^3 (100 K) on the dark. At Earth’s distance from the Sun space is hot (394 K) not cold (5 K).
That’s NOT what the RGHE theory says.
EVIDENCE:
RGHE theory says “288 K w – 255 K (-18 C) w/o = a 33 C colder ice ball Earth” 255 K assumes w/o keeps 30% albedo, an assumption akin to criminal fraud. Nobody agrees 288 is GMST + it was 15 C in 1896. 288 K is a surface measurement. 255 K is an equilibrium calculation at ToA. Apples and potatoes.
Nikolov “Airless Celestial Bodies”
Kramm “Moon as test bed for Earth”
UCLA Diviner lunar mission data
JWST solar shield
ISS HVAC design for lit side of 250 F. (ISS web site)
Astronaut backpack life support w/ AC and cool water tubing underwear. (Space Discovery Center)
FACT 2: The GHGs require “extra” energy upwelling from a surface radiating as a Black Body.
EVIDENCE:
According to TFK_bams09 atmospheric power flux balance, numerous clones and SURFRAD the GHGs must absorb an “extra” 396 BB/333 “back”/63 2nd net W/m^2 LWIR energy upwelling from the surface allegedly radiating as a Black Body. These graphics contain egregious arithmetic and thermodynamic errors.
FACT 3: Because of the significant non-radiative, i.e. kinetic, heat transfer processes of the contiguous participating atmospheric molecules the surface cannot upwell “extra” energy as a near Black Body.
EVIDENCE:
As demonstrated by experiment, the gold standard of classical science.
For the experimental write up see:
https://principia-scientific.org/debunking-the-greenhouse-gas-theory-with-a-boiling-water-pot/
CONCLUSION:
No RGHE, no GHG warming, no CAGW or mankind/CO2 driven climate change.
BSME CU ‘78
Well put. Our planet and its climate is a system of ‘mind bending’ complexity with emergent and adaptive properties. Believing that it’s all worked out (with computer models .. not empirical evidence) and that twiddling one knob labelled CO2 will bring about a definitive effect in the system - as though adjusting the volume on the TV - is so child minded, it can’t possibly be what’s motivating the cabal driving the narrative.
Indeed the theatre of the absurd. Good article.
When it comes to the influential and their credulity, I have never forgotten this gem from Presidential hopeful Joseph Biden in 2020, during his second debate with Donald Trump: “Climate change, climate warming, global warming is an existential threat to humanity. We have a moral obligation to deal with it. And we are told by all the leading scientists in the world we don’t have much time. We are going to pass the point of no return with in the next 8 to 10 years.” We now have only 4 to 6 years, unless of course he's wrong!
I'm building a retirement cottage at the beach. That significant money says he/they are wrong.
Of all the things you may worry about with owning a cottage, a change in the climate is not one of them.